Fred,
You're very gung-ho about Romney winning. That's what I call commitment.
Is Romney also on course to win his home State of Massachussets and
Paul Ryan's Wisconsin? No presidential candidate has ever won without
winning his home State. Even in the worst thrashing ever in
presidential elections, the loser still won his State; Reagan won 49
States but Mondale still won his native Minnesota.
Courage
On 10/15/12, fred O aboge <
faboge@gmail.com> wrote:
> The problem for Obama is the large Cuban and Jewish population in Florida.
> Obama and the Jewish state has been at odds over what to do about Iran and
> many believe they want a more hawkish approach to dealing with Tehran.
> Obama's other problem is the big enthusiasm gap between republican and
> democratic voters in the swing states so Romney is actually sitting pretty
> good in the final minutes of this campaign and with his $$ and the take no
> prisoners PAC association that supports him, I think its Romney's election!
>
> On Mon, Oct 15, 2012 at 11:03 AM, Judy Miriga <
jbatec@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> Maurice,
>>
>>
>> On Wisconsin and Michigan I cannot say concretely except
>> before the debate Obama was leading with 11 points.......
>> Realistically, I still expect Obama lead shortly after tomorrow's
>> debate.
>>
>>
>> Judy Miriga
>> Diaspora Spokesperson
>> Executive Director
>> Confederation Council Foundation for Africa Inc.,
>> USA
>>
http://socioeconomicforum50.blogspot.com>>
>>
>> --- On *Mon, 10/15/12, Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>* wrote:
>> From: Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>
>> Subject: Re: Facts: Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235 and 270
>> is the Required number
>> To:
wanakenya@googlegroups.com>> Cc: "Judy Miriga" <
jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> Date: Monday, October 15, 2012, 9:41 AM
>>
>> Judy,
>>
>> That's good news about Ohio and Florida, especially Ohio. florida does
>> not worry me much because it has all the ingredients favourable to
>> Obama; Blacks, Latino and the Elderly who value the Obamacare
>> healthcare plan.
>>
>> What do the polls look like in Wisconsin and Michigan?
>>
>> Courage
>>
>>
>> Obama makes push for early voting in Wisconsin
>>
>> 2012-10-04T17:14:20Z2012-10-05T18:08:49ZObama makes push for early
>> voting in WisconsinThe Associated PressThe Associated Press
>> October 04, 2012 5:14 pm • Associated Press
>>
>>
>>
>> President Barack Obama tried to turn the conversation to the importance
>> of early and absentee voting before a friendly crowd of 30,000 on the
>> University of Wisconsin-Madison campus Thursday, shaking off criticism
>> over
>> his first debate against Republican Mitt Romney.
>> The crowd waited for hours in periodic rain showers and dropping
>> temperatures to cheer Obama during his 22-minute speech that touched on
>> key
>> campaign themes of funding education, creating jobs and pushing for tax
>> fairness.
>>
>>
>> Obama urged the student-heavy crowd not to boo Romney but instead to
>> vote.
>>
>>
>> "Go Badgers!" he said as he took the stage, one of only a few references
>> to being in Wisconsin. He encouraged listeners to take advantage of
>> in-person early voting that starts in Wisconsin on Oct. 22 and runs
>> through
>> Nov. 2. Absentee ballots are also available and must be mailed back
>> before
>> Election Day.
>> Four years ago, when Obama carried Wisconsin by 14 points, one in five
>> ballots was cast before Election Day.
>> The visit came the day after Obama's first debate with Romney and the
>> release of a poll showing Obama ahead in Wisconsin by 11 points with five
>> weeks to go.
>> Staged on the tree-lined Bascom Hill in the middle of campus, the speech
>> marked the second time Obama has come Wisconsin in as many weeks.
>> Thursday's crowd count of 30,000 was provided by UW Police.
>>
>>
>> UW senior Katie Iliff introduced Obama and urged her fellow students to
>> the find the time between classes and other commitments to vote.
>> Rally attendee Laurie Benzine, 57, said she intends to vote early
>> in-person so she can focus on doing other work for Obama on Election Day.
>> "Everybody's got to get put to vote and support him," said Benzine, of
>> Rio, Wis. "He's got a good lead here but look what happened with Gov.
>> Walker. We thought we had it."
>> Walker won his June recall election by 7 points.
>>
>>
>> Walker released a statement Thursday blasting Obama's decision to
>> campaign
>> in Madison following his widely panned performance in Wednesday's debate.
>> "President Obama is on his heels and chose to recover from a bad debate
>> in
>> one of the most liberal places in America," Walker said. "Last night,
>> swing
>> voters in Wisconsin clearly saw that Mitt Romney is the better choice to
>> get America working again."
>>
>>
>> Romney's campaign has said the organization built to keep Walker in
>> office
>> is being tapped to propel the GOP candidate and encourage early voting.
>> Wisconsin hasn't voted for a Republican for president since 1984, but
>> Romney hopes to break that streak with the help of Janesville-native Paul
>> Ryan on his ticket as vice president.
>> Ryan planned to host a fundraiser in Milwaukee on Saturday and return the
>> following weekend to raise money for Tommy Thompson in his Senate race
>> against Democrat Tammy Baldwin.
>>
>>
>> "The thrill is gone in a lot of places, and Madison is a classic example
>> of that," said Rich Beeson, Romney's political director. "They need to go
>> in and prop up the base."
>> Obama's decision to return to Wisconsin so quickly is an indication of
>> how
>> well Romney and Ryan are doing in Wisconsin, Romney pollster Neil
>> Newhouse
>> said.
>> "It's the only state where we've actually added to our target list for
>> advertising as a result of what's happening on the ground," Newhouse
>> said.
>> "We're excited about where we stand in Wisconsin. I think our
>> on-the-ground
>> activity reinforces that."
>>
>>
>> Newhouse and Beeson refused to disclose their internal poll numbers.
>>
>>
>> Obama supporters at the rally said they weren't worried about what effect
>> the president's debate performance would have on the election.
>> "I think he took the high road," said Obama supporter Nichols Williams,
>> 32, of Madison. Williams said he was planning to wait until Election Day
>> to
>> cast his ballot, despite the president's pleas to vote early.
>>
>>
>> In Wisconsin, 71,347 absentee ballots have been requested by election
>> clerks who use the statewide voter database. The ballots are mailed and
>> collected locally, so there is no overall total for how many have been
>> submitted.
>>
>>
>> --- On *Mon, 10/15/12, Judy Miriga <
jbatec@yahoo.com>* wrote:
>>
>> From: Judy Miriga <
jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> Subject: Facts: Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235 and 270 is
>> the Required number
>> To: "Judy Miriga" <
jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> Date: Monday, October 15, 2012, 9:28 AM
>>
>>
>> Maurice, Dr. Nyandoto et all,
>> Check these facts......!!!......President Obama is leading 5 points
>> ahead
>> of Romney......it is the true picture.......and the fact remain that
>> Electoral
>> college Obama is 277 seven points above aggregate and Romney is 235
>> still 35 to reach aggregate point. This trend is mathematically
>> correct....
>> not the other way round.......So in reality, President Obama has always
>> been at the top.......except for the cooked polls that reflected
>> otherwise.
>> NBC/WSJ poll: Obama holds lead in Ohio; statistical tie in Va.,
>> Fla.<
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/03/14194770-nbcwsj-poll-obama-holds-lead-in-ohio-statistical-tie-in-va-fla>
>> Judy Miriga
>> Diaspora Spokesperson
>> Executive Director
>> Confederation Council Foundation for Africa Inc.,
>> USA
>>
http://socioeconomicforum50.blogspot.com>> --- On *Mon, 10/15/12, Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>*
>> wrote:
>>
>> From: Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>
>> Subject: *Obama 51%Romney 46%
>> *To: "Progressive Kenyans" <
progressive-kenyans@googlegroups.com>
>> Cc: "Kiswahili" <
Kiswahili@yahoogroups.com>, "VVM Vuguvugu Mashinani" <
>>
VuguVuguMashinani@yahoogroups.com>, "
wanakenya@googlegroups.com" <
>>
wanakenya@googlegroups.com>
>> Date: Monday, October 15, 2012, 8:59 AM
>>
>> New CNN Polls this morning are putting Obama at 5% points ahead of
>> Romney. This is where he was just before that fateful debate. It means
>> that Americans are waking up to Romneys lies and flipflops.
>> The not very exciting news is that they are tied in Florida and Ohio.
>> Obama needs to win at least one of these 2 States in order to be 100%
>> sure of a win plus a cushion.
>>
>> Just remember that CNN is not very friendly to Obama so we have to
>> assume that these numbers are heavily tilted in favour of Romney.
>>
>> Let's hope tomorrow's Town Hall debate goes Obama's way.
>>
>> Courage
>> *Courage Check These Facts !!!*
>> **
>> **
>> More from NBCNews.com
>>
>> - NBC/WSJ poll: Obama holds lead in Ohio; statistical tie in Va.,
>> Fla.<
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/03/14194770-nbcwsj-poll-obama-holds-lead-in-ohio-statistical-tie-in-va-fla>
>>
>> Polls: Obama holds the edge in Florida, Ohio and Virginia
>> As chaos in the Middle East continues, President Obama and GOP
>> presidential hopeful Mitt Romney are each trying to project strength on
>> national security. NBCs Peter Alexander reports.
>> By Mark Murray, Senior Political Editor, NBC News
>> After two political conventions and heading into the post-Labor Day
>> sprint, President Barack Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney in
>> the
>> key battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, according to new NBC
>> News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of each of these three states.
>> Click for poll results:
>> Virginia<
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/virginia_poll_september.pdf>|
>> Ohio
>>
>> <
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/ohio_poll_september.pdf>|
>> Florida<
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/florida_poll_september.pdf>(pdfs)
>> In both Florida and Virginia, Obama is ahead of Romney by five points
>> among likely voters (including those leaning toward a particular
>> candidate), 49 percent to 44 percent.
>> In Ohio, the president's lead is seven points, 50 percent to 43 percent.
>> --- On *Mon, 10/15/12, Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>* wrote:
>> From: Maurice Oduor <
mauricejoduor@gmail.com>
>> Subject: Re: Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235 and 270 is the
>> Required number
>> To:
wanakenya@googlegroups.com>> Cc: "Judy Miriga" <
jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> Date: Monday, October 15, 2012, 9:07 AM
>>
>> Judy,
>>
>> Obama needs to bag either Ohio or Florida in order to have that
>> confortable cushion of over 50 Colleges.
>> Ohio should be okay since Obama rescued the Auto Industry and restored
>> jobs there.
>>
>> In Florida, the State is messing up with Voter Registration which ay
>> work against the Black and Latino voters. That is worrying.
>>
>> I think Virginia is toying with Romney to get him to move left.
>> Virginia is a government workers' State and can't vote for a
>> Republican who wants to reduce the number of government workers.
>>
>> Courage
>>
>> Willy,
>>
>> Is that the Reason why Mitt Romney still do not have the Plan which is
>> why he is being driven by former President Bush advisors? Could it be why
>> Joe Biden asked Paul Ryan during the debate if they prefer war instead of
>> exhausting Diplomacy .....why they were pushing for the Iran factor...???
>> Is
>> it the same principles why Bush invaded Iraq without clear evidence which
>> is why America became a punching bag all over the world ??? Is that fair
>> to
>> go to war without intelligently getting to the bottom of factors and
>> logistics......??? Will American people agree to such push and
>> intimidation.....????
>>
>> President Obama is innocent and just want to be fair to all by doing
>> the right thing. To hate him is totally unfair……Mitt Romney have no facts
>> or substances, and is not telling the truth where he stands with his
>> manifesto statement of facts where he want to take America.
>>
>> Let's wait and see.........The American people are the employers, they
>> are the bosses..........and the Truth is, American people are very good
>> people, except some rich and the most powerful want to smear and paint
>> America negatively and they are about to find out........Let me tell you
>> this, you can fool someone else but not American people relate well with
>> facts.....They know their right and they will stand for it and exercise
>> it.........
>>
>> America is a super-power……it has saved the world in many instances, ways
>> and means……they cannot be fooled…..
>>
>> Sit back and fasten your seat-belt Lets watch the episode unfolding..
>>
>> Judy Miriga
>> Diaspora Spokesperson
>> Executive Director
>> Confederation Council Foundation for Africa Inc.,
>> USA
>>
http://socioeconomicforum50.blogspot.com>>
>>
>> *--- On Mon, 10/15/12, Willy Makundi <
wrlmakundi@aol.com> wrote:*
>> From: Willy Makundi <
wrlmakundi@aol.com>
>> Subject: Re: [wanabidii] Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235
>> and
>> 270 is the Required number
>> To:
wanabidii@googlegroups.com>> Date: Monday, October 15, 2012, 5:50 AM
>>
>>
>> Erratic but white.
>>
>> Erratic but willing to mercenarize the US forces to fight Israel war on
>> Iran. For Jews who still see this as an existential threat, dumping Obama
>> for a Romney is a small price to pay to complete the work began by papa
>> Bush and continued by the village idiot in Crawford.
>>
>> I hope your word will come true come November.
>>
>> mchilyi7.0
>>
>> *-----Original Message-----*
>>
>> From: Emmanuel Muganda <
emuganda@gmail.com>
>> To: wanabidii <
wanabidii@googlegroups.com>
>> Sent: Mon, Oct 15, 2012 4:51 am
>> Subject: Re: [wanabidii] Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235
>> and
>> 270 is the Required number
>>
>> Willy,
>>
>> Obama will be the first. Despite the JDL shennanigans, Obama is poised to
>> win a second term.
>>
>> Romney is too erratic.
>>
>> em
>>
>> On Sun, Oct 14, 2012 at 3:44 PM, Willy Makundi
>> <
wrlmakundi@aol.com<
http://us.mc1606.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=wrlmakundi@aol.com>
>> > wrote:
>> But there is an elephant in the sitting room.
>>
>> Since Israel (aka Bibi Netanyahu) decided that Obama is non-compliant on
>> Israel interest especially on Iran, the JDL, the APAC and other Jewish
>> organisations have began working against his re-election. Their
>> shareholders pretty much control all the media in the US and as such they
>> are working against his re-election. Except for a valiant Obama effort
>> and
>> Gods grace, Obama will lose by a narrow margin. He has the interest of
>> the
>> nation at heart but no one has yet won an election in the US in
>> contravention to the Jewish lobby. If Obama wins, he will be the first.
>>
>> mchilyi7.0
>>
>>
>>
>> -----Original Message-----
>>
>> From: Judy Miriga
>> <
jbatec@yahoo.com<
http://us.mc1606.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> >
>> To: Judy Miriga
>> <
jbatec@yahoo.com<
http://us.mc1606.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=jbatec@yahoo.com>
>> >
>> Sent: Sun, Oct 14, 2012 10:29 pm
>> Subject: [wanabidii] Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235 and
>> 270
>> is the Required number
>>
>>
>>
>> Folks,
>> Update for your information.......
>>
>>
>> Judy Miriga
>> Diaspora Spokesperson
>> Executive Director
>> Confederation Council Foundation for Africa Inc.,
>> USA
>>
http://socioeconomicforum50.blogspot.com>> *Watch This !!!*
>> More from NBCNews.com
>>
>> - NBC/WSJ poll: Obama holds lead in Ohio; statistical tie in Va.,
>> Fla.<
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/03/14194770-nbcwsj-poll-obama-holds-lead-in-ohio-statistical-tie-in-va-fla>
>>
>> Polls: Obama holds the edge in Florida, Ohio and Virginia
>> As chaos in the Middle East continues, President Obama and GOP
>> presidential hopeful Mitt Romney are each trying to project strength on
>> national security. NBCs Peter Alexander reports.
>> By Mark Murray, Senior Political Editor, NBC News
>> After two political conventions and heading into the post-Labor Day
>> sprint, President Barack Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney in
>> the
>> key battlegrounds of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, according to new NBC
>> News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of each of these three states.
>> Click for poll results:
>> Virginia<
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/virginia_poll_september.pdf>|
>> Ohio
>>
>> <
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/ohio_poll_september.pdf>|
>> Florida<
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/florida_poll_september.pdf>(pdfs)
>> In both Florida and Virginia, Obama is ahead of Romney by five points
>> among likely voters (including those leaning toward a particular
>> candidate), 49 percent to 44 percent.
>> In Ohio, the president's lead is seven points, 50 percent to 43 percent.
>>
>> Ed Andrieski / AP
>> President Barack Obama waves after speaking at a campaign rally in
>> Golden, Colo., Thursday, Sept. 13, 2012.
>> Among a larger pool of registered voters, Obama's advantage over Romney
>> slightly increases to 7 points in Virginia, 8 in Florida and 9 in Ohio.
>> "You'd rather be in Obama's shoes than Romney's in these three critical
>> states," Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for
>> Public
>> Opinion, says of the poll results.
>> First Thoughts: A tricky
>> situation<
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/13/13843743-first-thoughts-a-tricky-situation?lite>
>> But he adds that Obama's leads are not "insurmountable," especially as
>> the
>> two candidates prepare for their first presidential debate on Oct. 3 in
>> Colorado.
>>
>> Charles Dharapak / AP
>> Mitt Romney embraces women wearing traditional Vietnamese "ao dai"
>> dresses as he campaigns at Van Dyck Park in Fairfax, Va., Thursday, Sept.
>> 13, 2012.
>> These states – all of which Obama carried in 2008 but which George W.
>> Bush won in 2004 – represent three of the most crucial battlegrounds in
>> the
>> 2012 presidential election. And according to NBC's electoral
>> map<
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553/ns/politics/#battlegroundmap>,
>> Romney likely needs to capture at least two of these states, if not all
>> three, to secure the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the presidency.
>> By comparison, Obama can reach 270 by winning just one or two of these
>> battlegrounds – on top of the other states already considered to be in
>> his
>> column.
>> (Obama also has an additional path to victory without any of these three
>> states if he wins the toss-up contests of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New
>> Hampshire, and Wisconsin.)
>> What's particularly striking about these polls, Miringoff observes, is
>> how
>> most voters in these battleground states have already made up their
>> minds,
>> with just 5 to 6 percent saying they're undecided, and with more than 80
>> percent signaling that they strongly support their candidate.
>> "Those who are thinking of voting have pretty much picked sides," he
>> says.
>> The Romney campaign is on defense, facing criticism from within the
>> Republican Party, and from President Barack Obama that the GOP
>> presidential
>> nominee politicized a foreign policy crisis. Romney campaign adviser Vin
>> Weber discuses.
>> *Economy vs. foreign policy
>> *In Florida and Virginia, Obama and Romney are essentially tied among
>> likely voters on the question of which candidate would do a better job
>> handling the economy, although Obama has a four-point advantage on this
>> question in Ohio.
>> But when it comes to handling foreign policy, the incumbent Democratic
>> president enjoys a double-digit lead over his Republican challenger.
>> Also in the polls, Obama's job-approval ratings – 50 percent in Ohio and
>> 49 percent in Florida and Virginia – exactly match his ballot position
>> against Romney in these states.
>> And in each of these three battlegrounds, a majority of likely voters say
>> the country is on the wrong track, while more than 40 percent believe
>> that
>> it's headed in the right direction.
>>
>> Jason Reed / Reuters
>> First lady Michelle Obama visits with young children in after-school
>> care at the Rappahannock Area YMCA in Spotsylvania, Va., on Sept. 13,
>> 2012.
>> *Looking at the Senate races
>> *The polls also measure the key U.S. Senate contests in these three
>> states, all of which could determine the balance of power in that
>> chamber.
>> First Read: Michelle Obama echoes convention testimony in solo campaign
>> stop<
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/13/13848276-michelle-obama-echoes-convention-testimony-in-solo-campaign-stop?lite>
>> In Florida, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson leads Republican
>> challenger Connie Mack among likely voters by double digits, 51 percent
>> to
>> 37 percent.
>> In Ohio, incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown is ahead of GOP
>> challenger Josh Mandel by seven points, 49 percent to 42 percent.
>> And in Virginia, Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen are tied
>> at 46 percent each.
>> The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls of Florida, Ohio and Virginia were conducted
>> from
>> Sept. 9-11 of nearly 1,000 likely voters in each state (about 30 percent
>> by
>> cell phone), and they have a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage
>> points.
>> The former Republican Florida governor explains his support for
>> President Barack Obama but says he's not ready to declare himself a
>> Democrat just yet.
>> A likely voter is determined based on interest in the upcoming election,
>> the chance of voting, and prior participation in past elections.
>> More than 1,300 registered voters were surveyed in each of the three
>> states, and the margin of error for those voters is plus-minus 2.7
>> percentage points.
>> Obama still winning Electoral College 277-235 and 270 is the
>> Required number..........
>> *October 11, 2012 | 1:44 pm
>> *
>> Paul Bedard <
http://washingtonexaminer.com/author/paul-bedard>
>> Washington
>> Secrets*The Washington Examiner*
>> @SecretsBedard <
https://twitter.com/SecretsBedard>
>> His poor debate performance might have led some pollsters to move
>> Florida, Virginia and North Carolina into Mitt Romney's win column, but
>> President Obama still leads in enough states to give him an Electoral
>> College victory by seven points.
>> Proving a point made repeatedly by the Obama campaign that it can lose
>> several states it won in 2008 and still keep the White House, the
>> University of Virginia's Center for
>> Politics<
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/>cut 13 Electoral
>> Votes from its September analysis due to the debate, but
>> still has Obama with 277 and Romney 235; 270 are needed.
>> To win, the Center said, Romney needs Colorado, New Hampshire and
>> Virginia to get to 261. Then he'd need either Ohio or Wisconsin, or both
>> Iowa and Nevada. "This should cheer the GOP," said the Center.
>> It's easier for Obama. The Center expects Obama to take Nevada, Ohio,
>> Iowa and Wisconsin for the win.
>> Obama team promises more aggressive president in second debate
>> Reuters – 4 hrs ago
>>
>> - [image: U.S. President Barack Obama greets an onlooker after
>> disembarking from the Air Force One at Newport News/Williamsburg
>> International Airport in Williamsburg, Virginia, October 13, 2012.
>> REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst]
>> Enlarge
>> Photo<
http://news.yahoo.com/photos/u-president-obama-greets-onlooker-disembarking-air-force-photo-143251152.html>
>> Reuters/Reuters - U.S. President Barack Obama greets an onlooker after
>> disembarking from the Air Force One at Newport News/Williamsburg
>> International Airport in Williamsburg, Virginia, October 13, 2012.
>> REUTERS/Jonathan …more* *Ernst less* *
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