Sunday 28 October 2012

[wanabidii] Priorities USA poll: Obama up 3 in Virginia



People,
 

Working hard pays.........It is therefore just fair without racial biasness
that Credit is given where Credit is due. As a result President Obama
deserves to be rewarded a second chance.
 
 
If small babies speaketh when asked "who would they vote for" and they
reply, President Obama. Is there a lesson for all of us to learn from such
as these.......Isnt it amazing......??? It has also been proved that, riches
alone cannot buy us peace or unity ....... but True Love is never bought,
except it comes from within and glows with a shining radiance and that
is the beauty of life people........
 
 
The Rich and Wealthy have something to learn from. They should swallow
their Pride and accept the Reality. Wisdom is calling from the wilderness,
let us all come together and unite for the sake of peace because although
we look different in colour, we are one people and Unity is our strength.
 
 
I love you all.......!!!
 

Judy Miriga
Diaspora Spokesperson
Executive Director
Confederation Council Foundation for Africa Inc.,
USA
http://socioeconomicforum50.blogspot.com
 
 
 
 
Watch This.....!!!
 
Honey Boo Boo says she is voting for Obama!
By Ree Hines, TODAY contributor
At just 7-years-old, Alana "Honey Boo Boo" Thompson can't actually cast a vote come Nov. 6, but there's no election laws preventing her from picking a favorite in the presidential race. And that's just what the "redneckonzin'" tyke did on Monday night's "Jimmy Kimmel Live!"
Kimmel asked the reality TV sensation if she'd ever heard of Republican candidate Mitt Romney. She had not, but she was familiar with his competition, President Barack Obama.
 
 
 
Ted Strickland and Ohio Congressman Tim Ryan Interview with Ed Schultz on MSNBC - 10/26/12
Published on Oct 26, 2012 by uneditedpolitics

see more at uneditedpolitics.com

 
 
 
Martin Bashir - Why Romney is giving media the silent treatment
Published on Oct 25, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 25, 2012
Mother Jones' David Corn and Time Magazine's Michael Scherer discuss why the Romney campaign is dodging sit-down interviews with the media before Nov. 6, and whether that's the result of fallout from Richard Mourdock's "rape" comments, the campaign's own detail-less tax plans, or something more.

 
 
 
Martin Bashir - Romney perfecting his 'Mr. Hide' routine
Published on Oct 26, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 26, 2012
Buzzfeed's Michael Hastings and Democratic strategist Julian Epstein discuss how even President Obama's comment in Rolling Stone that Mitt Romney is a, well, it rhymes with "bull-spitter" doesn't seem to be bait enough to get Romney talking to the press again.

 
 
 
Martin Bashir - Goggles protect the eyes from Paul Ryan's deceit
Published on Oct 26, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 26, 2012
Martin Bashir practices safety first as he "translates" the misleading -- and outright deceptive -- claims in a new advertisement featuring Paul Ryan.

 
 
 
What It's All About
Published on Oct 26, 2012 by ohreallllyyyy

Martin Bashir from CNBC said something that ALL Americans need to hear!
(Taped from my home tv screen)

 
 
 
Lawrence O'Donnell Votes Early With The Help of Former California Gov. Gray Davis (1/2)
Published on Oct 28, 2012 by politicalarticles

No description available.

 
 
 
The Last Word - Rewriting GOP outrage over Obama ad
Published on Oct 27, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 26, 2012

 
 
 
The Last Word - Confidence test: Romney won't face the press, Obama does
Published on Oct 27, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 26, 2012

 
 
 
The ED Show - Obama ahead with two weeks to go
Published on Oct 23, 2012 by Licentiathe8th

Oct 23, 2012

2 days ago

 

CNN Poll: Obama 50%-Romney 46% in Ohio

mug.steinhauser
CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser

(CNN) - With a week and a half to go until Election Day, a new poll indicates the race for arguably the most important battleground state remains very close.

According to a CNN/ORC International survey released Friday, President Barack Obama holds a four point advantage over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the contest for Ohio's much fought over 18 electoral votes.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker
– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.
Fifty-percent of likely voters questioned in the poll say they are backing the president, with 46% supporting the former Massachusetts governor. Obama's four point advantage is within the survey's sampling error. The survey was conducted Tuesday through Thursday, entirely after Monday's final presidential debate.
"The race in the Buckeye State is essentially unchanged since early October, when a CNN/ORC poll taken just after the first presidential debate also showed President Obama with a four-point margin over Governor Romney," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
Surveys by other organizations conducted last month, before the first debate, had Obama ahead of Romney by seven to 10 points.
The new poll indicates that Obama has a double digit lead among those who have already voted absentee or early ballot or plan to do so before Election Day, with Romney holding the edge among people who plan to cast their ballot on November 6.
According to the survey, the gender gap has tightened a bit, but the basic storyline remains the same. Obama holds a 56%-42% advantage among female voters, with the GOP challenger up 50%-44% among men.
"In other major demographic groups, the movement since early October has been in the expected direction, with Obama picking up ground among younger voters, lower-income voters and urban voters and losing support among older voters, suburbanites, and higher-income voters," adds Holland. "Looking at age, for example, Obama has gained three points among voters under 50 years old since early October, but lost three points among voters who are 50 and older."
The poll indicates Obama maintains a small but critical advantage among independent voters. In early October, he had a 50%-46% margin among independents - virtually identical to the 49%-44% edge he has today
Among those who have voted early or plan to vote before Election Day, Obama holds a 59%-38% lead, with Romney up 51%-44% among those who say they'll vote on Election Day. Ninety-two percent of likely voters say they've made up their minds, with 4% saying they could change their minds.
Campaigning Thursday in Cleveland, the president urged Ohioans to vote early: "Ohio you can vote now, you don't have to vote later."
Ohio was the state that put President George W. Bush over the top in his 2004 re-election. Four years later Obama carried the state by five points over Sen. John McCain. But the Republicans performed well in the Buckeye State in the 2010 midterm elections, winning back the governor's office and five House seats from the Democrats.
This cycle Ohio is seeing an outsized amount of campaign traffic from the presidential candidates. This week alone, Obama campaigned in the state on Tuesday and Thursday. Romney spent Thursday making a swing throughout the state, and returns to Ohio Friday evening.
"Ohio is going to set the course for the nation," Romney said Thursday in Defiance, Ohio.
Overall, the campaigns, party committees, and super PACs and other independent groups have spent more than $118 million to run ads on broadcast TV in Ohio since the start of the general election, with the numbers evenly divided between the two sides. Those figures come from Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks political advertising for its clients.
Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode are also on the presidential ballot in Ohio. When their names were added to the poll, Obama is at 48%, Romney 44%, with Johnson at 4%, Stein at 2% and Goode registering less than one-half of one percent.
The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International from October 23-25, with 1,009 Ohio adults, including 896 registered voters and 741 likely voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
American Research Group also released a live operator, non-partisan poll of likely voters in Ohio on Friday. It was also conducted entirely after the final debate. It indicates Obama with a 49%-47% edge over Romney, which is within the survey's sampling error.

Forget the polls, Obama is still winning: PredictWise - The Trail (2:14)

Economist and Microsoft researcher David Rothschild of PredictWise.com says the polls are misleading and that President Obama is not now, nor has he ever been, behind Mitt Romney in the race for the White House. Rothschild's forecasting model, which incorporates prediction markets like Intrade, gives Obama a better than 65% chance of re-election in November. (October 19, 2012)

Priorities USA poll: Obama up 3 in Virginia

By ALEXANDER BURNS |
10/28/12 2:02 PM EDT
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 3 points in the state of Virginia, 49 percent to 46 percent, according to polling conducted for the pro-Obama super PAC Priorities USA Action.
Democratic pollster Geoff Garin announced the results on Twitter Sunday. The poll was conducted Oct. 25-27, testing 807 respondents with live interviews, Garin said, with a 1-point edge for Democrats in the sample.
In an email, Garin said that Obama's support among women (he leads 53 percent to 42 percent) and college-educated white voters of both genders puts Obama "right at the mark he needs to be hitting with whites overall to win the state."
The results are similar to the Washington Post poll Maggie posted yesterday. These are likely some of the last Virginia numbers we get for a while, given the effect Hurricane Sandy will have on the state over the next week.

Obama recaptures lead over Romney in new poll - Daily Trail (2:02)

President Obama has inched back ahead of Mitt Romney, according to new Reuters Ipsos polling data.

UPDATE 2-Hurricane Sandy blows U.S. election off course

Sun Oct 28, 2012 6:18pm EDT
* Obama leads in Virginia, poll shows
* Storm's impact could be significant
By Andy Sullivan
WASHINGTON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Hurricane Sandy blew the U.S. presidential race off course on Sunday even before it came ashore, forcing Republican Mitt Romney to shift his campaign inland and fueling fears that the massive storm bearing down on the East Coast could disrupt an election that is already under way.
As he juggled his governing duties with his re-election effort, President Barack Obama said the heavily populated East Coast could face power failures and other disruptions for several days.
"Don't anticipate that just because the immediate storm has passed that we're not going to have some potential problems in a lot of these communities going forward through the week," Obama said after a visit to the federal government's storm-response center.
Romney re-routed his campaign from Virginia to join his vice presidential running mate Paul Ryan in Ohio, one of the handful of battleground states that will decide the outcome of the Nov. 6 election.
"You are the battleground of battlegrounds. You get to decide," Ryan told a crowd of 1,000 people who were not able to join 2,000 others in a high school gymnasium in Celina, Ohio.
Obama later flew to Florida for a campaign stop. Like Romney, he canceled events in Virginia, a battleground state that could bear the brunt of the storm's impact.
Both campaigns also canceled events in New Hampshire, which could face high winds and heavy rain.
"The last thing the president and I want to do is get in the way of anything. The most important thing is people's safety and people's health," Vice President Joe Biden told campaign volunteers in Manchester, New Hampshire, before leaving for Ohio.
Officials in the path of the storm scrambled to ensure that extended power outages would not disrupt the early voting that appears to be critical for both candidates this year.
Obama said he did not think the storm would impact voting, but some on his campaign staff were not so certain.
"Obviously we want unfettered access to the polls because we believe that the more people that come out, the better we'll do," top Obama adviser David Axelrod said on CNN.
Republican Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell said his state plans to extend early voting hours and restore power quickly to election facilities in the event of outages.
Officials in neighboring Maryland said early voting stations would close on Monday.
WINDS OF UNCERTAINTY
The looming storm threw another note of uncertainty into a race that remains a statistical dead heat.
The vast majority of voters have made up their minds at this point, and more than one in five have already cast their ballots. But the storm could throw a wrench in the campaigns' efforts to drive voters to the polls in the final days before the election and will require them to ensure that their armies of door-knocking volunteers stay safe.
An extended power outage could sideline millions of dollars worth of television advertising that is set to saturate the airwaves in the final days of the race.
It also scrambles their efforts to schedule rallies in the handful of states that are likely to decide the outcome.
"The poll numbers aren't changing that much and I don't think the storm is going to change that dynamic. It's just going to present logistical challenges for the campaign," Hunter College political science professor Jamie Chandler said.
A severe disruption could hurt Obama more than Romney because his campaign has counted on early voting to lock up the support of those who may be less likely to vote on Election Day, Chandler said.
Officials from both campaigns said they were confident they would be able to get their message out and drive voters to the polls over the coming days. But they recognized that, after years of obsessive planning and nearly $2 billion in campaign expenditures, the storm had introduced a last-minute element of chaos.
"There's certain things we can't control and nature is one of them. We try to focus on the things that we can control," Romney adviser Kevin Madden told reporters.
There is some evidence that natural disasters can hurt an incumbent's re-election chances as voters often blame whoever is in office for adversity.
Research by Larry Bartels of Vanderbilt University and Christopher Achen of Princeton University found that Vice President Al Gore may have lost the election in 2000 because of severe drought and excessive rainfall in seven states.
Bush's approval ratings plummeted after Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans in 2005, and voters could similarly blame Obama if the government fumbles its response to this storm.
But there are also dangers for Romney, who will have to be careful to avoid being seen as politicizing the disaster. His campaign's hasty response to the attacks on U.S. diplomatic missions in the Middle East in September was widely criticized.
The Obama campaign said it would suspend fundraising e-mails in the mid-Atlantic region on Monday and encouraged supporters to donate to the Red Cross.
Opinion polls show the race to be essentially tied at the national level.
A Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Sunday found Obama leading Romney among likely voters by 49 percent to 46 percent, within the online survey's credibility interval. Among all registered voters, Obama held a wider lead of 51 percent to 39 percent.
However, Obama retains a slim advantage in many of the battleground states that will decide the election.
A Washington Post poll released on Sunday found Obama leading Romney by 51 percent to 47 percent in Virginia, just outside the poll's margin of error.
In Ohio, a poll by a group of newspapers found the two tied at 49 percent each. Other polls have shown Obama ahead there.
Romney received the endorsement of Iowa's largest newspaper, the Des Moines Register, which has not backed a Republican since 1972. He also won the endorsement of newspapers in Richmond and Cincinnati.
Obama won the endorsement of newspapers in Miami, Detroit and Toledo, Ohio, as well as The New York Times.
The real election nears! (Plus poll update)
Okay, so interest in the whole poll thing dipped in week two. But I told you I would keep it open for three weeks, and you guys can win a sweet prize.
So if you haven't responded yet, please do: who would you vote for in the upcoming American presidential election, and why?
Results after week two are only marginally different from how they were after week one.
Barack Obama, (D) 82.7 %
Mitt Romney, (R) 11.6 %
Jill Stein, (G) 3.8 %
Gary Johnson, (L) 1.9 %
AMERICANFLAG
As a lot of you still had some interesting things to say about the election last week, I thought I'd use this update as a little placeholder again to spur some chat.
And as it's an extra for experts Voyages post, no one can snipe at me about it being boringly political and such.
The election is 13 days away and the scores are way tied. On an aggregate of 15 or so major national polls, some have Romney up, some have Obama up, but they each shake out at a tie.
Pollster, one of the two poll aggregation sites I follow each day, noted yesterday that there has not been more than two-tenths of a point separating the two candidates in an average of national polls, for the past two weeks. (The other site I follow each day is Nate Silver's 538 blog, which is amazing.)
This is a tie game, in over time, and everyone involved is exhausted, including me.
I want to make an election prediction here, and I strongly encourage you to follow suit.
HAIRSWAPI think Barack Obama is going to win the election, 288 Electoral College votes to 250.
If this happens, I give Romney a one in five chance of still winning the popular vote; the much ballyhooed Gallup poll that has Romney up by six points, has Romney up by 22 points in the south, and Obama up between 4 and 6 points everywhere in every other region of the country.
While I accept that this election can, and may, be won by either candidate, I think that my prediction has validity because:
State by state polls still favour Obama in sum, and that is how American elections are decided. He has never trailed in the key battlegrounds: Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennyslvania and New Hampshire. Obama and Romney are deadlocked in Colorado and Virginia. Romney has had a small lead in Florida for a couple of weeks, and North Carolina seems to be looking more like a safe Romney state.
I don't think that Romney has "momentum" currently, as much as the race is in the same holding pattern it has been for two weeks since Romney erased Obama's lead in the wake of the first debate. People are surprised it is as close as it is. They know all they can know (much more than they want to know) and I think the election will take place in a political climate identical to today. There are no extreme changes coming, just a continued stalemate.
I think Ohio, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Iowa and Wisconsin deliver Obama the election, and Colorado breaks his way for good measure. I think Romney wins Florida, Virginia and North Carolina and they each split the popular vote.
This election seems to me to be more and more like 2004 each day. In the days leading up to that election the John Kerry hype hung thick in the air. The election was a tie. The gap was closing. Bush was scared. I really thought Kerry was about to become the next president of the USA. Some polls showed Kerry out in front. But Bush won, by about the same margin Obama will. Bush's victory said more about the power of incumbency and fear of the unknown than it did Bush, I think.
Because let's face it, whether or not he wins, Romney is no Reagan, and he's no Clinton, the last two presidents who knocked their predecessors out of office after one term. Reagan and Clinton absolutely trounced Carter and Bush I, respectively in 1976 and 1992. Romney hasn't captured the American imagination in a way I think you need to, to close a general election against an incumbent.
But let's face it, what the hell do I know, huh?
The only certainty to follow this election is that America is headed for even rougher political waters. Neither candidate will win a decisive victory. Either way, we're looking at four more years of slow progress and bitter division.
Sigh.
Just let this election finish, okay? I can't bring myself to read a newspaper these days.
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